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Personal Finance 

Putting Out a FIRE Part I: The Numbers Don’t Add Up

11/04/202211/04/2022 Haydn Martin Average, Distribution, Expectation, FIRE, Return, Wealth

Noah doesn’t enjoy life. Not at the moment, anyway. And he doesn’t anticipate much enjoyment in any of the next

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Investment Environment 

A Portfolio That Always Wins

30/01/202230/01/2022 Haydn Martin Average, Diversification, Financial Planning, Long-term, Non-Financial Factors, Return

In the real world, things happen both inside and outside of your portfolio that “force” you to sell. One major

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Probability and Statistics 

Statistics Is Useless Part I: The Problem

14/09/202127/12/2021 Haydn Martin Average, Distribution, Statistical Inference

Classical statistics is reliant on the fact that observations about the past tell us something about the future. This is

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Investment Psychology Personal Finance 

Non-Financial Factors

29/07/202129/07/2021 Haydn Martin Average, Books, Decisions, Ergodicity, Goals, Non-Financial Factors, Timing

We’ve talked a lot about stuff that happens inside your portfolio. But what about stuff that happens outside of it?

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Probability and Statistics 

How to Lie With Data

13/06/202121/11/2021 Haydn Martin Average, Charts, Data, Visualisations

I don’t trust data. Whenever I see a pretty chart, an average, a line going up and to the right,

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Probability and Statistics 

Gareth’s Big Mistake: Distributions vs. Averages

26/07/202014/06/2022 Haydn Martin 0 Comments Average, Distribution

Gareth is 50 years old. Retiring in 15 years time, he realises that he needs roughly £1.5M to live comfortably

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