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Investment Vehicles 

Ladder Investing

08/09/202225/10/2022 Haydn Martin 0 Comments Average, Bonds, Buy-and-Hold, Distribution, Government Bonds, History, Life-Cycle Funds, Long-term, Pensions, Return, Shares

What’s the best way to invest inside of a fixed, long-term vehicle? I compare Buy-And-Hold, Life-cycle Funds, and a new approach that I call Ladder Investing.

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Investment Psychology Investment Vehicles 

Why Passive Investing Generates Alpha

04/07/202204/07/2022 Haydn Martin 0 Comments Alpha, Average, Bubbles, CAPM, FOMO, Institutional Investors, Investment Horizon, Long-term, Passive Investing, Retail Investors, Return

Under traditional definitions, passive investors cannot generate alpha by definition. But under a new, more-relevant definition, they can.

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Personal Finance 

Putting Out a FIRE Part I: The Numbers Don’t Add Up

11/04/202204/07/2022 Haydn Martin 0 Comments Average, Distribution, Expectation, FIRE, Return, Wealth

Popular FIRE accumulation and withdrawal are too risky. Simulations tell you that following FIRE religiously can leave you exposed.

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Investment Environment 

A Portfolio That Always Wins

30/01/202204/07/2022 Haydn Martin 0 Comments Average, Diversification, Financial Planning, Long-term, Non-Financial Factors, Return

What if you could construct a portfolio that had only a 5% chance of decreasing in value in a given year. What might this look like?

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Probability and Statistics 

Statistics Is Useless Part I: The Problem

14/09/202104/07/2022 Haydn Martin 0 Comments Average, Distribution, Statistical Inference

Distributions come from one of four types of generating functions. The problem it’s hard to tell what the generator is. This causes all types of problems.

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Investment Psychology Personal Finance 

Non-Financial Factors

29/07/202105/07/2022 Haydn Martin 0 Comments Average, Books, Decisions, Ergodicity, Goals, Non-Financial Factors, Timing

There are a plethora of non-financial factors that affect financial decisions. The most optimal financial one might not be the best one.

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Probability and Statistics 

How to Lie With Data

13/06/202105/07/2022 Haydn Martin 0 Comments Average, Charts, Data, Visualisations

Data lies sometimes. How? Sometimes the inputs are faulty. Sometimes the comparisons are unfair. Visualisations can be misleading.

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Probability and Statistics 

Gareth’s Big Mistake: Distributions vs. Averages

26/07/202014/07/2022 Haydn Martin 0 Comments Average, Distribution

Looking at moments restricts some information. Focusing on single-point estimators, rather than the while sample, can lead you to mistaken conclusions.

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Topics

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  • Investment Environment (10)
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  • Investment Philosophy (11)
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Discussion

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