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Investment History

Short Term Capital Mismanagement

29/07/202229/07/2022 Haydn Martin 0 Comments Academia, Active Investing, Complexity, History, Leverage, Return

The LTCM was experiment was a disaster. What can we learn from it? I outline 4 lessons learned from revisiting LTCM.

why-not

Probability and Statistics

Why Things Happen

25/07/202105/07/2022 Haydn Martin 0 Comments Causation, Complexity, Randomness, Science, Statistical Inference

How do we know why things happen? Statistics can’t explain. Neither can mathematics. So how do we determine causality?

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Investment Psychology Investment Vehicles Stocks

Does the Stock Market Always Go Up?

06/07/202014/07/2022 Haydn Martin 0 Comments Complexity, History, Long-term

Everyone always recommends investing in the stock market. But this relies on the idea that the stock market always rises over time. Is this true?

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