Induction – Perpetual Prudence

Investment Environment

Nothing Can Hedge Against Inflation

18/12/202118/12/2021 Haydn Martin Cryptocurrency, Gold, History, Induction, Inflation, Oil, Property, Shares, Statistical Inference

We have already discussed how and why inflation is bad for you, investment-wise. All returns should only be considered after

Probability and Statistics

Statistics Is Useless Part II: The Consequences

21/09/202121/09/2021 Haydn Martin Distribution, FTSE 100, Induction, Risk, Shares, Statistical Inference, Uncertainty

As we have seen in Part I, statistics is hard. The improper use of statistics can lead us to having

Investment Philosophy

Why We Don’t Know Anything When It Comes to Investing

13/04/202117/06/2021 Haydn Martin Deduction, Epistemology, Induction, Principles, Uncertainty

I’ve talked a bit about how to arrive at ideas. We have come across two techniques: induction, in which one

Investment Philosophy Probability and Statistics

A Quick Post on Deduction

01/03/202116/06/2021 Haydn Martin Deduction, Induction

As we discovered in a previous post, inductive reasoning has its flaws. Mostly these arise because we are vulnerable to

Probability and Statistics

Induction: Hume vs. Keynes

20/12/202016/06/2021 Haydn Martin Deduction, History, Induction, Statistical Inference

At the beginning of Part III of Keynes’s A Treatise on Probability he quotes the anti-inductive argument made by Hume