Shares – Perpetual Prudence

Ladder Investing

08/09/202225/10/2022 Haydn Martin 0 Comments Average, Bonds, Buy-and-Hold, Distribution, Government Bonds, History, Life-Cycle Funds, Long-term, Pensions, Return, Shares

What’s the best way to invest inside of a fixed, long-term vehicle? I compare Buy-And-Hold, Life-cycle Funds, and a new approach that I call Ladder Investing.

Probability and Statistics

This Stat Pisses Me Off

19/03/202204/07/2022 Haydn Martin 0 Comments History, Induction, Return, Shares, Statistical Inference

I always see people posting something along the lines of “the market has gone up in a 20-year period 90% of the time”. This drives me insane.

Investment Environment

Nothing Can Hedge Against Inflation

18/12/202104/07/2022 Haydn Martin 0 Comments Cryptocurrency, Gold, History, Induction, Inflation, Oil, Property, Shares, Statistical Inference

Here we look at the most popular inflation hedges and their correlation with the general level of prices. We see that none of them work as inflation hedge.

Investment Environment

Passive Investing Is a Myth

29/10/202104/07/2022 Haydn Martin 0 Comments Active Investing, FTSE 100, Government Bonds, Passive Investing, Shares

“Passive” investing is not really passive. You have to make many subjective choices no matter how supposedly passive your strategy is.

Probability and Statistics

Statistics Is Useless Part II: The Consequences

21/09/202104/07/2022 Haydn Martin 0 Comments Distribution, FTSE 100, Induction, Risk, Shares, Statistical Inference, Uncertainty

Statistics is hard. It’s hard to tell what generating function we are dealing with. And this function can change. We must use what we know via deduction.

Investment History

20th Century Investing

10/08/202104/07/2022 Haydn Martin 0 Comments Bubbles, History, Inflation, Interest Rates, International Investors, Meme Assets, Saving, Shares

The 20th century in the UK was about increasing foreign investment and individual ownership. Today far more people are investing, which is largely a good thing.

Investment Vehicles

A Cross-Examination of Life-Cycle Funds

07/06/202105/07/2022 Haydn Martin 0 Comments Bonds, Funds, Life-Cycle Funds, Shares

Life-cylce funds adjust their composition of stocks and bonds as you age. You probably shouldn’t use these – better to control your own money yourself.